Thursday, October 20, 2016

A story of drinkers, genocide and unborn girls


WORLD SEX MAP

Updated on Oct. 18, 2016
Men now outnumber women on the planet by 66 million, the highest ever recorded. Preference for sons in India and China is driving the trend, but those two countries are not the only ones struggling with an imbalanced population. Here's a look at five decades of data:

The global view

In 49.55of the global population were women. 81 countries had a majority of women36countries had a majority of men75 were within 0.5% of gender parity.
40%45484951525560Percentage of women in population2015
*No data available for American Samoa, Andorra, Bermuda, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Eritrea, Faeroe Islands, Greenland, Isle of Man, Liechtenstein, Marshall Islands, Monaco, Northern Mariana Islands, Palau, San Marino, Sint Maarten, St. Kitts and Nevis, Turks and Caicos Islands, Tuvalu, Virgin Islands.
Data: World Bank

A closer look

Left to nature alone, the population on earth would be give or take 50% men and 50% women, according to what's become known as Fisher’s Principle. The fact that women generally live longer (PDF, page 259) is compensated by the fact of more boys being born than girls (107 boys per 100 girls in 2013).
In 1960, the earliest year the World Bank provides data for, the world was within 0.002 percentage points of a perfectly equal distribution. Ever since, the gap has widened; now men outnumber women on the planet by more than 66 million. When this piece was first published in early 2014, the gap had already been the widest ever – the trend continues.
The male surplus is the result of various, partly diverging trends. In 2015, female population in individual countries ranged from 27 to 54%. Some countries have seen a change of as much as 26 percentage points over the past five and a half decades, others have had notable ups or downs within relatively short periods.
(The data, provided by the World Bank, based on the United Nations Population Division's World Population Prospects, use interpolation between five-year periods to obtain annual data. Events that caused a significant change within a relatively short time might thus be reflected in the data with a delay and appear more linear than they have in fact been.)

The missing girls in China and India

In 2015, men outnumbered women on the planet by more than 66 million, according to the World Bank. What makes this possible, even though a majority of countries have more women than men, is the fact that the most populous countries in the world are also highly imbalanced: India has 48 million more men than women, China nearly 42 million, accounting for 75% of the male surplus worldwide.
’60’65’70’75’80’85’90’95’00’05’10’1545474951% female populationIndiaChinaPakistanBangladeshWorld average
Data: World Bank
Gender imbalance starts at birth: Both China and India are infamous forwidespread gender selective abortions and female infanticide. Both countries have birth sex ratios that are well off the worldwide average. In 2015, China saw 1.15 boys born per girl, India 1.12, as compared to 1.03 worldwide. The availability of affordable prenatal diagnostic techniques has only accentuated the trend, which means the gender gap in the general population is bound to widen in the coming years, as more balanced older generations pass away. In an attempt to break the trend, India has legally banned sex determination before birth in 1994, legislation that has, however, been criticized as ineffective. In 2013, China loosened its one-child policy, one of the main drivers of gendercide.
Two other countries in the region with a similar population structure, Pakistan and Bangladesh, have seen significant changes over the past decades. While Pakistan, the most unbalanced of the four in 1960, has improved and moved past China and India to greater equity, Bangladesh is approaching a balanced population in this century. This can be attributed to a shift in culture—labelled “the rise of the daughter-in-law” phenomenon—from one that strongly preferred sons to one that values boys and girls equally.

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